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Week 10 DFS Stacks: Justin Herbert Poised for Another Big Game

This piece will identify some of my favorite DFS stacks of the weekend. Be sure to use our Stacking tool found within our Player Models to find the highest projected stacks, the stacks that figure to be chalky, and more. Our Correlations page is also a great resource to find hidden edges in stacking positions and games.

Quarterback + Wide Receiver + Wide Receiver

  • Jared Goff ($6500 DraftKings, $7400 FanDuel)
  • Cooper Kupp ($6900 DraftKings, $7700 FanDuel)
  • Robert Woods ($6600 DraftKings, $7200 FanDuel)

The DFS “Golden Rule” this season has been to stack the passing game against the Seattle Seahawks, which is exactly what we did last week with Buffalo quarterback Josh Allen and wide receiver Stefon Diggs. 

We will continue to follow that rule in Week 10. 

Coming off their bye week, expect Rams head coach Sean McVay to embed a similar game plan to the Bills against Seattle’s generous secondary. The Seahawks are allowing 61.1 scheduled-adjusted fantasy points to opposing wide receivers, the most in the league by over 31% (4for4.com).

Rams quarterback Jared Goff is an affordable DFS option with huge upside against a Seahawks team that has allowed QB1 performances in all but one of their games this season.

Receivers Robert Woods and Cooper Kupp combine to account for 44% of the Rams total targets, making Los Angeles one of the most consolidated target shares in the league. If Goff has a big day, both receivers will also.

Kupp and Woods both rank among the Top 20 wideouts in receptions, targets, and receiving yards. Kupp should find much success against Seattle in the slot, and Woods has outperformed his average production against the Seahawks over the past three seasons. 

In addition, Seattle is a pass funnel defense, ranking ninth in run DVOA and 29th in passing defense per FootballOutsiders.

We want exposure to the second-highest projected total on the Sunday slate, and there is no reason to believe the Seattle defense will have any success limiting McVay’s offensive attack. Three of the last five games between these two teams have totaled 49 points or more, with two games cresting 58 points.

Instead of trying to match the opposing Seattle receiver, just stack the entire Los Angeles passing game against the pass funnel Seahawks.

Quarterback + Wide Receiver + Opposing Wide Receiver

  • Justin Herbert ($6600 DraftKings, $8000 FanDuel)
  • Keenan Allen ($7100 DraftKings, $7800 FanDuel)
  • DeVante Parker ($5000 DraftKings, $6000 FanDuel)

Los Angeles starting quarterback Justin Herbert has enjoyed a tremendous first season. The University of Oregon product  is the betting favorite to win NFL Rookie of the Year. He ranks fifth among all quarterbacks in fantasy points per game including five consecutive QB1 finishes. During his last five contests, Herbert is averaging exactly three touchdowns and just 0.6 interceptions per game. 

Masked by his incredible passing efficiency, Herbert’s rushing upside is underrated. He has two rushing touchdowns on the season, along with an average of 37 rushing yards over last three games. Herbert should be able to take advantage of a Dolphins defense that has allowed the third most QB rushing yards per game (28.4).

With Herbert tallying big road performances at Tampa Bay, New Orleans, and Denver, don’t be concerned with Miami’s stingy pass defense. The Dolphins just allowed the overall QB1 performance in Week 9 to Arizona’s Kyler Murray. 

Chargers wideout Keenan Allen is essentially an every week DFS start based on incredible volume. He is near the top of almost every wide receiver statistic this season. 

 

Allen’s route tree is so varied, that he will likely avoid top Miami cornerbacks Xavien Howard and Byron Jones. Look for Allen to increase his average 46.4% slot rate and attack Miami slot CB Nik Needham, who ranks just 89th in PFF cornerback rating. The Dolphins has struggled to stop slot receivers with Cooper Kupp (11/110), Jamison Crowder (7/48), and Cole Beasley (5/70) all having strong performances. Miami head coach Brian Flores has already acknowledged the challenge of trying to limit Allen.

Allen’s upside should mirror Buffalo’s Stefon Diggs, who eviscerated the Dolphins defense with the overall WR2 stat line (8/153/1) in Week 2.

The unfortunate injury to Miami wideout Preston Williams leaves DeVante Parker ready for a sizable target share. Parker saw a season-high 94.3% snap share in Week 9, finishing with six receptions and 64 receiving yards against Arizona lead CB Patrick Peterson.

Parker’s $5K price on DraftKings is his DFS sweet spot. Over the past three seasons, when Parker’s price has been between $4800 and $5900, he has exceeded his expected points by an average of 5.01 points with a 77.8% consistency rating.

Even more importantly, Parker’s average ownership in those games has only been 9.4%.

Using the FantasyLabs Optimizer, I prioritized this stack and found incredible savings to include two versatile running backs in Carolina’s Mike Davis and Green Bay’s Aaron Jones, along with Rams representation with Robert Woods.

If you are looking for a contrarian stack off Seattle-Los Angeles, consider this old AFC Battle that should remind long-time NFL fans of the Dan Fouts-Dan Marino battles of the 1980s.

Quarterback + Wide Receiver + Opposing Wide Receiver

  • Josh Allen ($7,500 DraftKings, $8,700 FanDuel)
  • Stefon Diggs ($7,500 DraftKings, $7,900 FanDuel)
  • Christian Kirk ($5,700 DraftKings, $6,300 FanDuel)

If it ain’t broke, don’t fix it.

Allen and Diggs pop again as a fantastic stack at Arizona, in the highest over/under on the Sunday slate. Arizona-Buffalo currently has a 56.5 game total, with both teams having lofty individual totals.

Similar to Keenan Allen, Diggs has dominated team passing targets. Diggs ranks first among wide receivers in:

  • Targets (91)
  • Receptions (63)
  • Receiving Yards (813)
  • Completed Air Yards (608)

The Cardinals defense was just shredded at home by Miami rookie Tua Tagovailoa making only his second career start. Tagovailoa threw for 248 receiving yards, two touchdowns, while rushing for 35 yards on seven attempts. That sets the foundation for another great performance from Allen, who brings 26.7 rushing yards per game and five total rushing touchdowns.

The key to this stack is having faith to pivot off DeAndre Hopkins for fellow wideout Christian Kirk. Over the last three games, Kirk’s season has exponentially increased. He has three consecutive overall WR14 or better performances, with an incredible five touchdowns. Buffalo top CB Tre’Davious White is already talking about his one-on-one matchup with Hopkins, allowing Kirk to again find increased target volume.

Kirk’s 17.4 yards per reception and 2.48 fantasy points per target both rank Top 10 among all wide receivers per PlayerProfiler. 

Using the optimizer, I increased exposure to Kirk by 20% when Allen and Diggs are stacked and produced the following DraftKings lineup:

We can include Green Bay running back Aaron Jones in a blowup home matchup with Jacksonville, and two top wideouts in McLaurin and even DeVante Parker from the previous stack.

Don’t be afraid to repeat last week’s stack, especially if the matchup calls for it. Christian Kirk’s 5-8% ownership means savvy DFS players can still take advantage of the under the radar recent production for one more week. Grab a part of this DFS desert shootout.

This piece will identify some of my favorite DFS stacks of the weekend. Be sure to use our Stacking tool found within our Player Models to find the highest projected stacks, the stacks that figure to be chalky, and more. Our Correlations page is also a great resource to find hidden edges in stacking positions and games.

Quarterback + Wide Receiver + Wide Receiver

  • Jared Goff ($6500 DraftKings, $7400 FanDuel)
  • Cooper Kupp ($6900 DraftKings, $7700 FanDuel)
  • Robert Woods ($6600 DraftKings, $7200 FanDuel)

The DFS “Golden Rule” this season has been to stack the passing game against the Seattle Seahawks, which is exactly what we did last week with Buffalo quarterback Josh Allen and wide receiver Stefon Diggs. 

We will continue to follow that rule in Week 10. 

Coming off their bye week, expect Rams head coach Sean McVay to embed a similar game plan to the Bills against Seattle’s generous secondary. The Seahawks are allowing 61.1 scheduled-adjusted fantasy points to opposing wide receivers, the most in the league by over 31% (4for4.com).

Rams quarterback Jared Goff is an affordable DFS option with huge upside against a Seahawks team that has allowed QB1 performances in all but one of their games this season.

Receivers Robert Woods and Cooper Kupp combine to account for 44% of the Rams total targets, making Los Angeles one of the most consolidated target shares in the league. If Goff has a big day, both receivers will also.

Kupp and Woods both rank among the Top 20 wideouts in receptions, targets, and receiving yards. Kupp should find much success against Seattle in the slot, and Woods has outperformed his average production against the Seahawks over the past three seasons. 

In addition, Seattle is a pass funnel defense, ranking ninth in run DVOA and 29th in passing defense per FootballOutsiders.

We want exposure to the second-highest projected total on the Sunday slate, and there is no reason to believe the Seattle defense will have any success limiting McVay’s offensive attack. Three of the last five games between these two teams have totaled 49 points or more, with two games cresting 58 points.

Instead of trying to match the opposing Seattle receiver, just stack the entire Los Angeles passing game against the pass funnel Seahawks.

Quarterback + Wide Receiver + Opposing Wide Receiver

  • Justin Herbert ($6600 DraftKings, $8000 FanDuel)
  • Keenan Allen ($7100 DraftKings, $7800 FanDuel)
  • DeVante Parker ($5000 DraftKings, $6000 FanDuel)

Los Angeles starting quarterback Justin Herbert has enjoyed a tremendous first season. The University of Oregon product  is the betting favorite to win NFL Rookie of the Year. He ranks fifth among all quarterbacks in fantasy points per game including five consecutive QB1 finishes. During his last five contests, Herbert is averaging exactly three touchdowns and just 0.6 interceptions per game. 

Masked by his incredible passing efficiency, Herbert’s rushing upside is underrated. He has two rushing touchdowns on the season, along with an average of 37 rushing yards over last three games. Herbert should be able to take advantage of a Dolphins defense that has allowed the third most QB rushing yards per game (28.4).

With Herbert tallying big road performances at Tampa Bay, New Orleans, and Denver, don’t be concerned with Miami’s stingy pass defense. The Dolphins just allowed the overall QB1 performance in Week 9 to Arizona’s Kyler Murray. 

Chargers wideout Keenan Allen is essentially an every week DFS start based on incredible volume. He is near the top of almost every wide receiver statistic this season. 

 

Allen’s route tree is so varied, that he will likely avoid top Miami cornerbacks Xavien Howard and Byron Jones. Look for Allen to increase his average 46.4% slot rate and attack Miami slot CB Nik Needham, who ranks just 89th in PFF cornerback rating. The Dolphins has struggled to stop slot receivers with Cooper Kupp (11/110), Jamison Crowder (7/48), and Cole Beasley (5/70) all having strong performances. Miami head coach Brian Flores has already acknowledged the challenge of trying to limit Allen.

Allen’s upside should mirror Buffalo’s Stefon Diggs, who eviscerated the Dolphins defense with the overall WR2 stat line (8/153/1) in Week 2.

The unfortunate injury to Miami wideout Preston Williams leaves DeVante Parker ready for a sizable target share. Parker saw a season-high 94.3% snap share in Week 9, finishing with six receptions and 64 receiving yards against Arizona lead CB Patrick Peterson.

Parker’s $5K price on DraftKings is his DFS sweet spot. Over the past three seasons, when Parker’s price has been between $4800 and $5900, he has exceeded his expected points by an average of 5.01 points with a 77.8% consistency rating.

Even more importantly, Parker’s average ownership in those games has only been 9.4%.

Using the FantasyLabs Optimizer, I prioritized this stack and found incredible savings to include two versatile running backs in Carolina’s Mike Davis and Green Bay’s Aaron Jones, along with Rams representation with Robert Woods.

If you are looking for a contrarian stack off Seattle-Los Angeles, consider this old AFC Battle that should remind long-time NFL fans of the Dan Fouts-Dan Marino battles of the 1980s.

Quarterback + Wide Receiver + Opposing Wide Receiver

  • Josh Allen ($7,500 DraftKings, $8,700 FanDuel)
  • Stefon Diggs ($7,500 DraftKings, $7,900 FanDuel)
  • Christian Kirk ($5,700 DraftKings, $6,300 FanDuel)

If it ain’t broke, don’t fix it.

Allen and Diggs pop again as a fantastic stack at Arizona, in the highest over/under on the Sunday slate. Arizona-Buffalo currently has a 56.5 game total, with both teams having lofty individual totals.

Similar to Keenan Allen, Diggs has dominated team passing targets. Diggs ranks first among wide receivers in:

  • Targets (91)
  • Receptions (63)
  • Receiving Yards (813)
  • Completed Air Yards (608)

The Cardinals defense was just shredded at home by Miami rookie Tua Tagovailoa making only his second career start. Tagovailoa threw for 248 receiving yards, two touchdowns, while rushing for 35 yards on seven attempts. That sets the foundation for another great performance from Allen, who brings 26.7 rushing yards per game and five total rushing touchdowns.

The key to this stack is having faith to pivot off DeAndre Hopkins for fellow wideout Christian Kirk. Over the last three games, Kirk’s season has exponentially increased. He has three consecutive overall WR14 or better performances, with an incredible five touchdowns. Buffalo top CB Tre’Davious White is already talking about his one-on-one matchup with Hopkins, allowing Kirk to again find increased target volume.

Kirk’s 17.4 yards per reception and 2.48 fantasy points per target both rank Top 10 among all wide receivers per PlayerProfiler. 

Using the optimizer, I increased exposure to Kirk by 20% when Allen and Diggs are stacked and produced the following DraftKings lineup:

We can include Green Bay running back Aaron Jones in a blowup home matchup with Jacksonville, and two top wideouts in McLaurin and even DeVante Parker from the previous stack.

Don’t be afraid to repeat last week’s stack, especially if the matchup calls for it. Christian Kirk’s 5-8% ownership means savvy DFS players can still take advantage of the under the radar recent production for one more week. Grab a part of this DFS desert shootout.