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Week 14 NFL DFS Stacks and Strategies: Build Around Sam Darnold on Sunday

New York Jets quarterback Sam Darnold (14) reacts during the fourth quarter against the Minnesota Vikings at MetLife Stadium.

This piece will identify some of my favorite DFS stacks of the weekend. Be sure to use our Stacking tool found within our Player Models to find the highest projected stacks, the stacks that figure to be chalky and more. Our Correlations page is also a great resource to find hidden edges in stacking positions and games.

Quarterback + Wide Receiver

  • Ryan Tannehill ($5800 DraftKings, $7300 FanDuel)
  • A.J. Brown ($5300 DraftKings, $5400 FanDuel)

This is the perfect cheap/low ownership Week 14 stack.

Tennessee heads across the country to face an Oakland defense that has allowed the fourth-most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks. While Tennessee certainly skews run heaving behind running back Derrick Henry, the loss of wide receiver Adam Humphries (ankle) consolidates the target share for the mercurial but explosive A.J. Brown.

It has been difficult to predict Brown’s boom weeks, as he has finished the overall WR7 and WR59 the past two weeks. He will likely draw Oakland cornerback Trayvon Mullen, who ranks 123rd in coverage rating per Player Profiler.

I expect an inspired effort from the Raiders, who are coming off two big road losses and need this win to keep their playoff chances alive. The low spread suggests a close game, which would keep Tennessee’s pass volume higher than with a traditional lead.

Oakland’s team DVOA ranks a miserable 31st overall including 28th against the pass. The Over/Under sits at 47.5, which is the second-highest on the Sunday slate.

With an implied team total of 25.5 points, Tannehill and Brown present enough upside to merit serious DFS tournament consideration. In their last 11 games, the Raiders have allowed Top 6 overall QB fantasy performances more than half of the time.

It may not have the sex appeal of some bigger named stacks, but Tannehill + Brown is one of my favorite Week 14 pairings.

Running Back + DEF/Special Teams

  • Melvin Gordon ($6400 DraftKings, $7300 FanDuel)
  • Chargers D/ST ($2800 DraftKings, $4600 FanDuel)

Jacksonville’s run defense has been horrific the last few weeks, which can be a sign the team has lost faith in their coaching staff.

Melvin Gordon has regained his role as the centerpiece of the Los Angeles’ offense with 20 or more carries in three of the past four games. He has a good chance to see the end zone against a Jacksonville team that has allowed the third-most rushing touchdowns (13) and fourth-most rushing yards (1364) to opposing running backs.

Jacksonville has struggled on the offensive side of the ball as well, allowing the sixth-most fantasy points to opposing defenses. The Chargers have been one of the league’s best against opposing quarterbacks, allowing just one overall QB1 performance all season. Safety Derwin James and cornerback Casey Hayward make it a difficult time for opposing wide receivers.

The Jaguars offensive line will do quarterback Gardner Minshew no favors, ranking just 24th in pass protection with an 8.0% sack rate.

It is always wise to follow the touches for running back in DFS, and Gordon projects as one of the highest in Week 14. Follow the trends with a Jaguars team headed south against the more talented Chargers on both offense and defense.

Quarterback + Wide Receiver + Opposing Wide Receiver

  • Sam Darnold ($6000 DraftKings, $7700 FanDuel)
  • Robby Anderson ($5100 DraftKings, $6400 FanDuel)
  • DeVante Parker ($6900 DraftKings, $7200 FanDuel)

The Jets have been the ultimate Jekyll and Hyde team this season.  Besides the Patriots loss, the Jets have posted have posted team point totals of 34, 34, and 24 in three wins.

Outside of the Patriots debacle, quarterback Sam Darnold has actually been a quality fantasy quarterback this season.

Against a Miami defense that has allowed the fourth-most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers, the down the field explosiveness of Robby Anderson is extremely attractive at his low price point on both formats. Despite a disappointing season he still ranks Top 25 in Deep Targets and sixth overall in average target distance. This is exactly the type of player we look for in DFS tournaments, low-cost wideouts with huge big play upside.

I’m pairing this stack with Miami wideout DeVante Parker, who has seen a massive increase in target volume since a season-ending injury to teammate Preston Williams. Parker has seen ten or more targets in four straight games, and finished as the overall PPR WR1 in Week 13.

New York’s pass funnel defense should also help Parker’s volume, as the Jets rank second in run defense DVOA.

With all the attention on higher-priced quarterbacks, betting on Darnold at home with the big-play ability of Anderson as well as the target volume of Parker provides a safe DFS floor. Consider this affordably priced stack of poor record teams who could provide a sneaky shootout in the Meadowlands.

This piece will identify some of my favorite DFS stacks of the weekend. Be sure to use our Stacking tool found within our Player Models to find the highest projected stacks, the stacks that figure to be chalky and more. Our Correlations page is also a great resource to find hidden edges in stacking positions and games.

Quarterback + Wide Receiver

  • Ryan Tannehill ($5800 DraftKings, $7300 FanDuel)
  • A.J. Brown ($5300 DraftKings, $5400 FanDuel)

This is the perfect cheap/low ownership Week 14 stack.

Tennessee heads across the country to face an Oakland defense that has allowed the fourth-most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks. While Tennessee certainly skews run heaving behind running back Derrick Henry, the loss of wide receiver Adam Humphries (ankle) consolidates the target share for the mercurial but explosive A.J. Brown.

It has been difficult to predict Brown’s boom weeks, as he has finished the overall WR7 and WR59 the past two weeks. He will likely draw Oakland cornerback Trayvon Mullen, who ranks 123rd in coverage rating per Player Profiler.

I expect an inspired effort from the Raiders, who are coming off two big road losses and need this win to keep their playoff chances alive. The low spread suggests a close game, which would keep Tennessee’s pass volume higher than with a traditional lead.

Oakland’s team DVOA ranks a miserable 31st overall including 28th against the pass. The Over/Under sits at 47.5, which is the second-highest on the Sunday slate.

With an implied team total of 25.5 points, Tannehill and Brown present enough upside to merit serious DFS tournament consideration. In their last 11 games, the Raiders have allowed Top 6 overall QB fantasy performances more than half of the time.

It may not have the sex appeal of some bigger named stacks, but Tannehill + Brown is one of my favorite Week 14 pairings.

Running Back + DEF/Special Teams

  • Melvin Gordon ($6400 DraftKings, $7300 FanDuel)
  • Chargers D/ST ($2800 DraftKings, $4600 FanDuel)

Jacksonville’s run defense has been horrific the last few weeks, which can be a sign the team has lost faith in their coaching staff.

Melvin Gordon has regained his role as the centerpiece of the Los Angeles’ offense with 20 or more carries in three of the past four games. He has a good chance to see the end zone against a Jacksonville team that has allowed the third-most rushing touchdowns (13) and fourth-most rushing yards (1364) to opposing running backs.

Jacksonville has struggled on the offensive side of the ball as well, allowing the sixth-most fantasy points to opposing defenses. The Chargers have been one of the league’s best against opposing quarterbacks, allowing just one overall QB1 performance all season. Safety Derwin James and cornerback Casey Hayward make it a difficult time for opposing wide receivers.

The Jaguars offensive line will do quarterback Gardner Minshew no favors, ranking just 24th in pass protection with an 8.0% sack rate.

It is always wise to follow the touches for running back in DFS, and Gordon projects as one of the highest in Week 14. Follow the trends with a Jaguars team headed south against the more talented Chargers on both offense and defense.

Quarterback + Wide Receiver + Opposing Wide Receiver

  • Sam Darnold ($6000 DraftKings, $7700 FanDuel)
  • Robby Anderson ($5100 DraftKings, $6400 FanDuel)
  • DeVante Parker ($6900 DraftKings, $7200 FanDuel)

The Jets have been the ultimate Jekyll and Hyde team this season.  Besides the Patriots loss, the Jets have posted have posted team point totals of 34, 34, and 24 in three wins.

Outside of the Patriots debacle, quarterback Sam Darnold has actually been a quality fantasy quarterback this season.

Against a Miami defense that has allowed the fourth-most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers, the down the field explosiveness of Robby Anderson is extremely attractive at his low price point on both formats. Despite a disappointing season he still ranks Top 25 in Deep Targets and sixth overall in average target distance. This is exactly the type of player we look for in DFS tournaments, low-cost wideouts with huge big play upside.

I’m pairing this stack with Miami wideout DeVante Parker, who has seen a massive increase in target volume since a season-ending injury to teammate Preston Williams. Parker has seen ten or more targets in four straight games, and finished as the overall PPR WR1 in Week 13.

New York’s pass funnel defense should also help Parker’s volume, as the Jets rank second in run defense DVOA.

With all the attention on higher-priced quarterbacks, betting on Darnold at home with the big-play ability of Anderson as well as the target volume of Parker provides a safe DFS floor. Consider this affordably priced stack of poor record teams who could provide a sneaky shootout in the Meadowlands.