This piece will identify some of my favorite DFS stacks of the weekend. Be sure to use our Stacking tool found within our Player Models to find the highest projected stacks, the stacks that figure to be chalky and more. Our Correlations page is also a great resource to find hidden edges in stacking positions and games.
Quarterback + Wide Receiver
- Jared Goff ($6,300 DraftKings, $7,700 FanDuel)
- Cooper Kupp ($6,100 DraftKings, $7,100 FanDuel)
The Rams return home after a hard-fought Sunday Night Football win at Cleveland, which is great DFS news for quarterback Jared Goff.
Hard to get away from Jared Goff in DFS for Week 4 QB.
7.7K FanDuel
6.3K DraftKings pic.twitter.com/bM6iPhsNCU— Mike Randle (@RandleRant) September 26, 2019
Goff faces a Tampa Bay pass defense that just allowed Giants rookie Daniel Jones to throw for 336 yards and four total touchdowns.
Historically, Goff has performed very well in these situations. Using the FantasyLabs Trends tool, we can identify games in his career when…
- The Rams were favored at home
- The over/under was 48 points or higher
- Goff was priced between $6,000-6,500 on DraftKings
In those games, Goff produced an average of 8.21 fantasy points over expectation, with his only poor game coming last season without Cooper Kupp against the Eagles.
Tampa Bay has the second-best run defense DVOA this year, trailing only the Patriots. The Bucs have allowed an average of 2.28 yards per carry to opposing running backs, including just 37 yards on 16 attempts by Christian McCaffrey in Week 2. This could force the Rams into an even more pass-heavy scheme than normal.
Linebacker Devin White was sorely missed by the Buccaneers against the Giants, and he’s likely out again this week. This provides more freedom for Kupp on his preferred short-to-intermediate routes. Kupp ranks top-10 among all wide receivers in targets, receptions, receiving yards, red zone receptions and fantasy points per game.
This is one of the highest-rated QB/WR stacks in our models for Week 4.
Quarterback + Wide Receiver
- Matthew Stafford ($5,500 DraftKings, $6,900 FanDuel)
- Kenny Golladay ($5,900 DraftKings, $6,500 FanDuel)
The poor performance by Kenny Golladay in a prime smash spot at Philadelphia should cause his ownership to drop this week. That means this Detroit QB/WR stack in a home game with the highest over/under in Week 4 could go under the radar.
Despite the run-first preference of Detroit offensive coordinator Darrell Bevell, quarterback Matthew Stafford has performed well in the passing game. Per PlayerProfiler, Stafford ranks first among all quarterbacks in pass attempt distance, second in deep-ball attempts and fifth in production premium. This has been one of the most efficient starts to Stafford’s 11-year career.
Golladay has seen at least eight targets in each of the first three games while ranking first among wide receivers in deep targets. Despite totaling only two receptions for 17 yards at Philadelphia, Golladay maintains huge upside at home against a Chiefs defense that surrendered road touchdowns to wide receivers D.J. Chark, Chris Conley and Tyrell Williams.
Since 2018, Golladay has seen increases of 2.5 targets, 19 receiving yards and 0.11 touchdowns when playing at Ford Field. In a game with a 55-point over/under, consider this very affordable QB/WR stack with both players under $6,000 on DraftKings and $7,000 on FanDuel.
Running Back + D/ST
- Phillip Lindsay ($5,200 DraftKings, $6,900 FanDuel)
- Denver D/ST ($2,900 DraftKings, $4,100 FanDuel)
I’ve seen enough production from Broncos running back Phillip Lindsay to trust him at home in this difficult matchup. The low ownership projection makes this an intriguing contrarian play for tournaments.
Most DFS players will shy away from Lindsay because of his 50/50 snap share with fellow running back Royce Freeman. However, he’s still getting good volume and has been efficient with his opportunities: Among all running backs, he ranks top-10 in carries + targets and fantasy points per game.
Lindsay’s total touches have increased each week to his season-high of 25 at Green Bay in Week 3. Most importantly, he has out-touched Freeman in the red zone 11 to 7 and has received all five of Denver’s rushing attempts inside the five-yard line.
Phillip Lindsay was DETERMINED in Week 3 😤
130 yards from scrimmage + two touchdowns! #BroncosCountry | @Broncos pic.twitter.com/9HO6PrecC9
— NFL (@NFL) September 25, 2019
Jacksonville has allowed the third-most fantasy points to opposing defenses and faces a difficult road venue in the high altitude of Denver. The Jaguars offensive line has allowed the third-most sacks of any NFL team. Denver’s defense, while still without a sack, has held each of the three opposing quarterbacks to a QB21 or worse fantasy performance.
While Jacksonville wide receiver D.J. Chark has caught a touchdown in each game this year, Denver standout cornerback Chris Harris could limit him. He held Chicago’s Allen Robinson and Green Bay’s Davante Adams to a total of eight receptions for 97 receiving yards and no touchdowns.
Lindsay’s 2-4% projected ownership more than compensates for the likely popular Denver defensive play.
Quarterback + Wide Receiver + Opposing Pass-Catcher
- Russell Wilson ($6,100 DraftKings, $7,800 FanDuel)
- Tyler Lockett ($6,300 DraftKings, $6,600 FanDuel)
- Christian Kirk ($5,100 DraftKings, $5,900 FanDuel)
This game sets up as one of the biggest Week 4 DFS opportunities with high fantasy points projected for both teams.
Tyler Lockett ranks 10th among wide receivers in targets despite having just two in Week 1. He ranks fifth in receptions (22), seventh in receiving yards (277) and ninth in PPR fantasy points per game (20.6). Outside of facing a double-team against Detroit, Lockett has been unguardable. Per PlayerProfiler, his 65.7% slot usage and eighth-best 2.32 yards per separation provide him with one of the safest floors among all fantasy wide receivers.
Much to the delight of DFS players, quarterback Russell Wilson is running again. After failing to have a rushing touchdown for the first time in his career in 2018, Wilson already has two running scores while ranking third among all quarterbacks with 17 carries. Wilson faces an Arizona defense that has allowed nine touchdowns and no interceptions to opposing quarterbacks through three games.
There may be no less appreciated wide receiver this season than Arizona’s Christian Kirk. His sub-$6k price on both DraftKings and FanDuel is almost impossible to pass up with his third-most targets (32) of any wide receiver. The Seahawks rank a mediocre 14th in limiting opposing fantasy wide receivers, and Kirk is due for some positive touchdown regression. Arizona also ranks first among all teams in pace, averaging only 23.3 seconds between plays.
Wilson and Lockett have been one of the most reliable QB/WR stacks over the past two weeks, and Kirk’s high snap share and target volume make this stack well worth the high ownership projections.
Quarterback + Tight End + Opposing Pass-Catcher
- Daniel Jones ($5,300 DraftKings, $7,300 FanDuel)
- Evan Engram ($5,700 DraftKings, $6,800 FanDuel)
- Terry McLaurin ($4,500 DraftKings, $6,300 FanDuel)
This Redskins-Giants game features the slate’s second-highest over/under at 49.5 points. New York quarterback Daniel Jones is likely to regress after his overall fantasy QB2 performance with four touchdowns last week at Tampa Bay, but his rushing upside (28 yards, two rushing touchdowns) solidifies a high DFS floor and ceiling for Jones in his first home start.
Evan Engram leads all tight ends in fantasy points per game (20.9). His dominant start to the season includes the most targets and yards after catch and the second-most receptions through three games. He should be a safe tight end play in this projected high-scoring NFC East battle.
Since Washington played on Monday Night, wide receiver Terry McLaurin’s DFS price is still an attractive $4,500 on DraftKings. He has at least seven targets, five receptions and a touchdown in each of the Redkskins’ first three games. The Giants are the second-worst pass defense in DVOA and are allowing the second-most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers.
With two poor defenses facing pass-heavy offenses, DFS players would be wise to be invested in both teams. The Jones-Engram-McLaurin stack provides huge upside at a very cheap cost.
Photo credit: Douglas DeFelice-USA TODAY Sports
Pictured: Daniel Jones
