Welcome to Week 11!
The entire point of this article is to give you a brief but comprehensive analysis of my core plays for the main slate. I’ll be giving you what you need but without a 10,000-word article. Expect a lot of concise points, along with data-driven analysis from the extensive suite of analytical fantasy tools in the FantasyLabs Player Models. Oh, and no bullshit.
It’s important to remember that I strictly play smaller-field tournaments on DraftKings such as the Power Sweep, Juke, End Zone, and others.
Overall, my thoughts and analysis will always be geared towards tournaments on DraftKings, not cash games.
Also, don’t forget that for large-field tournaments, you can utilize our Lineup Optimizer to effortlessly create up to 150 lineups, or use our Lineup Builder if you like to hand-build your teams.
Let’s dive in.
My Favorite Overlooked Game Stack
Buffalo Bills (28) vs. Indianapolis Colts (21)
Look, I get it. Cowboys-Chiefs sets up to be the game of the week, possibly the game of the year. You are not going to fool anyone by stacking that game. Bills-Colts comes in with the third-highest total of the week at a solid 49.5 total. Josh Allen offers as much upside on any QB on the slate and is currently projected as the sixth highest-rostered QB.
His preferred stacking option is Stefon Diggs, who exploded for 8-162-1 with Cole Beasley limited to nine snaps last week. Dawson Knox is the highest-rated tight end in my model. The Colts are allowing a slate high Opponent Plus/Minus of 5. Knox only projects to be 4% owned after a quiet return from injury in week 10.
What if I told you the No. 1 running back in fantasy football, who has scored in seven straight games, was going to be virtually unowned? That is going to be the case with Jonathan Taylor. Taylor has true slate-breaking upside, surpassing 30 DraftKings points in three of his past six games.
In a close game in Jacksonville in week 10, Taylor received 21 rushes and 8 targets. If the Colts can keep it close, he should have a massive workload.
My Core Plays
Dak Prescott
Dak Prescott in a projected shootout? Sign me up. The issue with Dak so far has been his volume. He has only surpassed 40 pass attempts twice on the year. In a game the Cowboys project to need to keep their foot on the gas, Dak should be able to absolutely pick apart the Chiefs paper-thin secondary. The Chiefs are allowing a slate-high Opponent Plus/Minus to the quarterback position.
Stacking options are plentiful, and I prefer to double-stack Dak with two of Lamb/Gallup/Shulz (in that order). Thanksgiving is on Thursday, but the Cowboys’ WR core is going to absolutely feast on Daniel Sorensen.
AJ Dillon
I feel like the fantasy football community has been waiting for AJ Dillon all year. With Aaron Jones and Kylin Hill both injured, Dillon should get as much work as he can handle. The Packers have a healthy 24 point team total, and Dillon should serve as the team’s goal-line back. He will be popular, but rightfully so.
Nick Chubb
No Kareem Hunt, the Browns are 10-point home favorites, and he gets to face the Lions. Chubb is the highest-rated player in my model, and it’s no surprise. Chubb is not going to go overlooked, but due to his price and the slew of mid-range options, he currently projects to be the 10th highest-rostered running back on the slate.
Jaylen Waddle
Waddle is the highest-rated player in my model. He is averaging eight targets per game at only $5,600 on Draftkings. With Tua back and projected to start this week, the Dolphins should be able to efficiently move the ball against a Jets defense that has somehow allowed over 40 points in three of their past four games.
Tyreek Hill
The Chiefs have a healthy 29-point team total in the game of the week. Tyreek has received double-digit targets in six of his last seven games, and I wouldn’t expect anything to change this week. If the Chiefs want to win, they are going to need to score. Hill has received 38% of Mahomes intended air yards, and all it takes is one deep completion to change the slate.
Byron Pringle
No, that is not a typo. It really says, Byron Pringle! This is not for the faint of heart. In Week 10 against the Raiders, he played 46 of 73 snaps. That is 20 more snaps than both Hardman and Robinson played. It will take more than one week to definitively overtook the No. 2 WR role, but it’s better to be a week early than late. He currently projects to be under 1%, but I suspect that could rise as people want to grab pieces of this game.
Dan Arnold
Arnold has surpassed 60 receiving yards in his last three games, averaging eight targets per game for a solid 21% target share. He appears to be the favorite target for Trevor Lawrence in a game the Jaguars project to be trailing. If Arnold can score a touchdown, he’s a smash. If not, he has a solid floor due to his role in the offense. At $4,100 on DraftKings, that’s all you can ask for.
Run good in Week 11!
