Welcome to Week 10!
The entire point of this article is to give you a brief but comprehensive analysis of my core plays for the main slate. I’ll be giving you what you need but without a 10,000-word article. Expect a lot of concise points, along with data-driven analysis from the extensive suite of analytical fantasy tools in the FantasyLabs Player Models. Oh, and no bullshit.
It’s important to remember that I strictly play smaller-field tournaments on DraftKings such as the Power Sweep, Juke, End Zone, and others.
Overall, my thoughts and analysis will always be geared towards tournaments on DraftKings, not cash games.
Also, don’t forget that for large-field tournaments, you can utilize our Lineup Optimizer to effortlessly create up to 150 lineups, or use our Lineup Builder if you like to hand-build your teams.
Let’s dive in.
Seattle Seahawks (23) vs. Green Bay Packers (26)
With only the fourth-highest projected total on the slate, there are some pieces that will attract ownership (Davante Adams), but the game seems to be going overlooked as a whole. On a slate full of value, Davante Adams is currently projected to be the most heavily utilized wide receiver. He projects for a whopping four DK points higher than the next highest wide receiver. After that, the game will go overlooked even though the game checks plenty of boxes.
Tyler Lockett and DK Metcalf are severely underpriced at just $6,800 and $6,500 on Draftkings. Prior to the Russell Wilson injury, both were routinely priced in the $7,000 range. Speaking of quarterbacks, Rodgers and Wilson both project for sub-3% ownership and offer the second and third-best Leverage Scores at the QB position in my model.
Although both teams have the tendency to slow the game down, there is no doubt that there are scenarios where these hyper-efficient offenses are able to light up the scoreboard at minimal ownership.
My Core Plays
Dak Prescott
The Cowboys come into the week with the highest team total of the week at 32 points. Dallas looked miserable last week against the Broncos, but all is forgotten. A date with the Atlanta Falcons fixes all. Dak has thrown three or more touchdowns in five of his seven games this year and just so happens to be getting back Michael Gallup back from IR. Look for that trend to continue.
I prefer to pair one of his expensive wide receivers (Lamb or Cooper) with one of his cheaper wide receivers (Gallup or Schultz).
Jonathan Taylor
The Colts have a 29-point implied team total and are 10.5-point favorites. After a relatively slow start of the year, Taylor has scored a touchdown in six-straight games and has an insane 6.0 YPC on the year. At the running position, he carries both the highest Median Projection and Ceiling Projection on the slate.
James Conner
All he does is score. Conner already has four multi-touchdown games on the year, and now Chase Edmonds is removed from the equation. Edmonds has been the de-facto receiving back in the Cardinals offense. Conner received 21 carries and five targets last week, in which Edmonds went down early.
The Cardinals are -10.5 home favorites and get to take on XFL QB P.J Walker.
Davante Adams
Adams has an insane 34.5% of the team’s targets over the past year. Adams projects four points higher than any other wide receiver on the slate. The Packers are only -3.5 point home favorites, so will need to keep their foot on the gas. Adams should be involved early and often for the Packers.
Keenan Allen
Allen is the highest-rated wide receiver in my model. The Chargers have a 28.5 point implied team total and are only 3.5 point favorites. The Vikings are allowing a slate high +1.1 Opponent Plus/Minus to the wide receiver position. This game is a favorite on the slate to shoot out, and Allen should be involved heavily. Allen has seen a whopping 10 targets per game and seems to have regained his WR1 role from Mike Williams.
Michael Gallup
Gallup returns from an extended IR absence and should be inserted into the offense as the Cowboys’ de-facto deep threat. The Cowboys boast a slate-high 32 point team total and should be able to impose their will against the Falcons. At a price tag of only $4,000 on Draftkings, it only takes a few catches for Gallup to exceed value.
Dan Arnold
Admittedly, it never feels good to use a Jaguars player. Arnold has received 5+ targets in each of his last four games and now gets to take on the Colts, who have allowed an Opponent Plus/Minus of +4.1 to the position. The Jaguars are 10.5 underdogs, so should be playing catchup. Expect Arnold to be involved heavily. He is the highest-rated tight end in my model.
Run good in Week 10!
